Alper TAN
Tüm YazılarıIn this article, we will try to summarize our predictions about the developments that may occur in the world in 2025.
What happened in 2024?
The best news of 2024 was that Syria, which had been suffering for the last 13 years under the pressure of the 61-year-old Baath dictatorship, was liberated in 11 days thanks to the operation that started in December. The end of the Somali-Ethiopia crisis and the agreement reached through Türkiye 's mediation, the end of the conflict that has been going on for years between the state and an armed group in Sudan and the settlement of the issue through Ankara's mediation, the establishment of stability in Libya and the normalization of Türkiye -Egypt relations were very, very important developments. The beginning of the expulsion of European occupiers from West African countries such as Burkina Faso, Niger, Ivory Coast, Mali, Chad and Senegal were also significant steps towards the liberation of the Dark Continent.
What else happened in 2024?
In 2024, the US and European countries have lost power and prestige. There has also been wear and tear in relations between these two continents. The crisis of trust has become more visible. French President Macron declared that the US cannot be trusted, saying, “Europe can no longer hand over its security to other powers. The war in Ukraine and developments in the Middle East require Europe to wake up.”
Russia is worn out in the Ukraine war, which is about to complete its third year. So much so that it has come to the point of requesting combat soldiers from North Korea because it could not succeed with its own soldiers. With the fall of Bashar Assad, who is supported by Moscow, Putin has also been forced to withdraw his soldiers from Syria.
What could happen in 2025?
United States
2024 was an election year for the US. The assassination attempts against Donald Trump made him an enemy of the Deep State. Trump's preparations for revenge are complete. Rather than being president in the White House, he is preparing to fight the US. He has established a kind of war cabinet. It seems that while Trump is fighting with the groups he sees as enemies in the country, he is also preparing for a kind of war with Canada and Denmark due to Greenland, and with Panama due to the Canal issue. However, Trump seems to be using economic, trade, customs, taxes, threats, blackmail and political weapons outside the country rather than firearms. However, Donald Trump's war inside could turn into a very bloody internal showdown — in other words, even possibly a war the likes of which has not been seen in recent history. This means the end of the US global reign. If this happens, the world will have some peace.
2025 will be a year in which US-European relations and US-Israel relations will be seriously questioned. In any case, we may see these relations weaken and even reach the point of rupture.
European Union
Europe will lose political, economic, technological and strategic power this year. The deterioration of transatlantic relations will also cause the relative unity within Europe to suffer, the EU to become more controversial, and the sense of trust between member states to be destroyed. This will end the global influence of Western Europe.
Russia
Russia is weakening. Moscow-Ankara relations are likely to expand and deepen further. Russia's relations with Islamic countries may also develop rapidly and become more institutional. Such relations may cause unease among some groups within Russia.
China
China will likely begin to stagnate in terms of economy and growth. Growth momentum may decrease as a result of changing employment conditions and increasing wages. If tensions between China and India increase in addition to the US’s attempts to wear down China through Taiwan, Beijing may face more difficulties. During this process, Beijing’s relations with China, Türkiye and Muslim countries may develop more rapidly. This year, we expect China to quickly abandon the wrong policies implemented against Uyghur Turks (Muslims) and return to normal.
India
The BJP regime, similar to the Baath regime that governs a peaceful nation with a fascist mentality, needs to read the events in the world well and change its policies in a positive direction. The New Delhi administration needs to understand that it will not get anywhere by relying on the US, supporting Israel, Greece, Armenia and Iran.
South Korea
The coup attempt launched by pro-US soldiers in the country, taking the President with them, failed, but the wounds and insecurity caused by this anomaly in the country have not healed. This issue will continue to be questioned in 2025. In addition, changing global balances of power will distance South Korea from the US orbit and make it advantageous/safe and encourage it to join other regional alliances, especially the Organization of Turkic States.
Iran
One of the big losers of 2025 is undoubtedly Iran. Tehran's Persian expansionist policy, which it has been carrying out under the guise of the Shiite Crescent with a strategy that appeased the Western World and Israel, has completely failed. Today, Tehran has almost no influence left in countries such as Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen and Afghanistan. Iran is currently surrounded and completely besieged on all sides. The state within the country is divided into at least two parts and the people into at least four parts. In 2025, the regime in Iran may be overthrown from within or it may collapse with chaos. The collapse of the regime seems inevitable. However, the way the regime collapses may be gentle or it may lead to very bloody chaos depending on how the Revolutionary Guards behave. The current course of events points more to the second possibility.
Israel
One of the losers in the form of bankruptcy in 2025 will most likely be Israel. We expect Palestine to achieve freedom with a clear victory in 2025. This may be the last year of genocidal Israel’s life. In 2025, Israel will probably receive terrible blows from inside and outside, from places it never expected and at times it never expected. This will also bring about the end of the genocidal “project state.” The most optimistic possibility for Israel in 2025 is that it will not be completely destroyed but will become a city-state of Tel Aviv with its arms and wings broken. Jews and especially Zionists will be despised, ostracized, discredited, and disgusted all over the world, and will no longer be a group of genocidal victims but of genocide.
Middle East
This year will be a period in which Iraq and Syria will recover rapidly and become stronger by gaining stability. Major developments are expected in Lebanon, which has been freed from Iranian oppression. After Iran is brought under control, the people of Lebanon and Jordan will also gain their freedom by redressing the Israeli scourge. 2025 holds very important developments for Jordan and Lebanon.
Africa
African countries will continue to expel Western invaders/colonizers. We may also see new alliances independent of the West in different parts of the continent. The star continent of the 21st century will most likely be Africa. We may witness Türkiye 's positive impacts rapidly increasing in Africa.
Balkans
The countries that will be most affected by the events that will occur in Europe and the USA, especially Greece, will be the Balkans, where there are many small countries. This region will enter a new search in terms of political stability, security and survival. The most reasonable option is to be with Türkiye .
Caucasus
There may also be hot developments in the Caucasus. The reshaping of this region seems inevitable. The Pashinyan government, which recognized this possibility early, has distanced Armenia from a major threat by pursuing normalization with Azerbaijan and Türkiye .
Türkiye
The Organization of Turkic States will become stronger and more institutionalized this year and will begin to operate as a single state. This will provide great security and peace to all Turkic states, Asia and the world.
It seems that the political and strategic center of the world will shift to Asia. Türkiye is now a global actor that no one can deny. Türkiye has also taken control of Europe in terms of energy security. Ankara is now a dominant power in this regard. After a while, the pricing of energy and precious metals and global strategies will be determined in Istanbul. As Europe becomes dependent on Türkiye for energy, global powers such as the USA, China, Russia, as well as Iran, Saudi Arabia and other energy exporting countries will recognize Türkiye 's critical role.
We can predict that Anatolia will come to the forefront not only in terms of energy but also in terms of airspace security and air traffic.
As the global balance of power is being reshaped, we must act with utmost care without complacency, work hard without making mistakes, and make good use of this invaluable opportunity that history has bestowed upon us.
Alper Tan
January 5, 2025
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