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What Could Donald Trump's Election as President Cause in the US and the World?

12 Kasım 2024, Sal
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Donald Trump returned to the White House as the 47th President of the United States with a landslide victory in the November 5, 2024 elections. He also ensured Republican supremacy in the House of Representatives and the Senate. In other words, he returned as a very powerful president.

Donald Trump is uncomfortable with the globalist and bureaucratic policies of American presidents. He is taking a stance against the line of his predecessors, especially on issues such as foreign trade, immigration, the over-reliance on NATO, and the prioritization of “global interests” over “American interests”. For example, he dismissed the climate agreements and foreign aid initiated by Obama as a waste and argued that America should focus more on its domestic problems. Trump wants to pursue a foreign policy that prioritizes America's interests and withdraw from traditional diplomatic agreements.


His promises include building a wall on the US-Mexico border, deepening the trade war with China to give the US an advantage, reducing US support for institutions such as NATO and the UN, and maintaining protectionist policies that favor the national economy. He also promised to stop illegal immigration through anti-immigrant policies and to implement travel bans on Muslim countries.


What does Trump's election mean?


Elections in US history have often been hard fought and seriously contested. When the US was very strong in the world and at home, elections were more relaxed and smooth. Even if there were objections and lawsuits, they were not difficult to resolve. Even if the president, ministers, ministerial advisors and heads of important institutions changed as a result of these bipartisan elections, the bureaucracy was generally left untouched and the continuity of the state was taken as a basis.


When we look at the results of this election, there are several important reasons for Trump's victory:


First of all, the public sees that the US is collapsing both internally and externally, and with the psychological effects of this, the electorate has embraced Trump, perhaps with a last hope. Secondly, Trump was supported as a reaction to the fact that the US, which the world thinks of as democratic, modern, just and civilized, has been a partner in this genocide by providing great financial and political support to the Palestinian people for the last year, despite the genocide committed by Israel without mercy nor humanity. The third reason is that the Democratic Party ignored the people, went its own way and surrendered completely to the Deep State. In other words, we can say that the fact that the Democrats have surrendered the government and the state to the Zionists is an important factor in Trump's victory.


Rather than discussing how Trump was elected, why Kamala Harris didn't win, and how he got so far ahead of the Democrats, we should focus on what Trump will do in the government and the state from now on.


Why did Muslims support Trump?


The reasons why US Muslims supported Trump in the elections and why Muslim leaders and Trump held rallies together in full view of Zionist Jews should be analyzed carefully. We should also try to understand what US Muslims hope and expect from Trump. Because during his first presidential term, Trump made Jerusalem the capital of Israel without taking into account the sensitivities of Muslims. So why was Trump supported despite this? They could have remained passive when there was such a brutal genocide in Gaza and the pain and suffering of it was a deep wound in the hearts of all Muslims. Nevertheless, Muslims openly and unitedly turned to Trump and supported him. Let us try to understand the reasons for all this as best we can.


During Trump's first presidency and after the election in which he lost the presidency, the US establishment, politics, the judiciary, the Pentagon, the CIA, the FBI and other important institutions waged a war against Trump and launched numerous attempts to put him in jail. He went into the last elections having overcome all these great challenges. Because of the fact that the prestige of the USA has been thoroughly shaken throughout the world, that it has gone from its democratic(!), tolerant(!) and just(!) structure (in which it destroyed the world order it established with its own hands) to the stage of acting like a terrorist organization, its open and overt support and even partnership in the genocide committed by Israel, and the fact that the Democratic Party executives and the deep state have now turned into thugs in the world, the conscious US people wanted to say STOP to this course by electing Trump. Contrary to predictions, Trump will take the presidency with great power and confidence.


As his first order of business, Trump will enter into a serious showdown with the establishment, politics, the judiciary, global economic circles, the military and intelligence officers, whom he calls the deep state. He will have to settle scores so that he can get the strong support he has received from his people from the peoples of the world and so that he can improve the image of the United States, which is in shambles. Anyway, in order to improve this image, the state will have to show its democratic, “loving” face after a while in order to reconsider its position in the world.


We do not think that Trump will sharply say STOP to the genocide perpetrated by Israel in Gaza and Lebanon, but he will definitely try to start the process leading to peace. Contrary to popular belief, Israel and the US do not have the power to fight, especially on the ground. The US is not only facing the Israeli-Palestinian war, but also the Ukraine war. These wars are a big shackle on the feet of the US and are dragging it down every day. Step by step, Trump will start withdrawing his support from these two battlefields and his proxy forces fighting in other parts of the world.


In our view, the most important reason why US Muslims support Trump is that the state order will be turned upside down once he comes to power. This change will be very painful. There will be a great chaos and turmoil in the US state and power structure and in the entire bureaucratic sector, and it will take 6 months to a year for this to be organized and for Trump to be able to sit in his seat reliably. This is in the interest of humanity.


In this process, the “dysfunctionality” of the US establishment will give birth to alternative formations and alliances trying to establish a new world order. It is not by chance that the US and the EU remain in such an ineffective and incapacitated state in the coming period. It is a reflection of the play-making efforts and strategic superiority of the aspirants to the new world order. Zionism, or the subversive proxy forces that act on behalf of the US and try to bring the world to its knees, will have a very difficult time in this environment of Washington's “dysfunction” and will either surrender to the powers they are fighting or perish.


What else could the historic US election, which ended with Trump's victory, lead to?


Trump seeks revenge:


As we explained above, Trump is expressing his displeasure with what he calls the “Deep State”, the structure that obstructs his policies. He has often stated that he will fight against this structure that is “unfair” to him. Therefore, he intends to settle accounts with those in the bureaucracy who oppose him and his policies.


Among the most important actions he will take when he takes office are to implement a tougher economic policy against China, increase US-Mexico border security, restructure the immigration system and try to get international alliances such as NATO to adopt an approach that is in America's interests. He also has a plan to downsize the state bureaucracy and build his own team that “puts America's interests first”.

However, this is not so easy to do. The American system is based on checks and balances to limit presidents' unlimited power. Trump may therefore find it difficult to fulfill all his promises, but he will at least struggle to take the symbolic and radical steps he promised his supporters.


What will US-European relations look like?


Trump aims for a more “fair” burden-sharing approach to US-European relations, one that prioritizes America's interests. He argues that European countries should contribute more to NATO and defense. In his view, America disproportionately carries the security burden of NATO and Europe, while European countries do not take enough responsibility. Trump therefore supports policies such as reducing US spending in NATO and placing more burden on European allies.


Trump also believes there is an unfair balance in US trade relations with Europe. He wants to close the trade deficit and make American products more competitive in the European market by imposing high tariffs on some goods from Europe. He also considers European restrictions on American agricultural and industrial products unfair and favors renegotiating free trade agreements.


If Trump implements these policies, Europe-US relations could be strained. Increasing NATO's security burden could fuel anti-Americanism in some European countries. Moreover, higher tariffs and restrictions on trade could strain the European economy and risk a mutual trade war. In response to such US actions, the European Union may seek to increase its own strategic autonomy, especially in defense and trade policies, in order to reduce its dependence on the United States. In the long run, this could mean Europe developing its own defense capabilities, pursuing a more independent foreign policy from the United States, and cooperating more with other great powers such as China.


However, not all of these changes will be easy to implement, as its actions in areas such as NATO and trade could be constrained by pressure from Congress and the American business community. It will not be easy for Trump to fully realize these goals, especially since the defense and economic sectors are crucial to relations with Europe.

Trump's policy towards Muslim countries is characterized by an approach that prioritizes national security and America's interests. During his presidency, he has taken a hardline stance against Muslim countries, imposing travel bans that limit entry to the US from some Muslim countries. He has also advocated taking strict measures against political instability in Muslim countries in the name of fighting what he calls “radical” groups and protecting America from terrorist threats. In his relations with Muslim countries, Trump has opted for a policy of unilateral strategic interests rather than ideological affinity.


If Trump engages in negative relations with Muslim countries as he did in his first term, he will increase anti-Americanism in Muslim countries. This would mean increased boycotts of American products, reduced investment in the United States and increased risk of instability in the region. Muslim countries could become more aligned with alternative great powers such as China and Russia in opposition to American policies. This would lead to a loss of US influence in the region.


Deterioration in relations with Muslim countries could jeopardize energy security for the US. Tensions with oil producing countries such as Saudi Arabia could affect oil prices and global markets. Moreover, a rise in anti-Americanism in Muslim countries would also jeopardize the security of US military bases in the region.


Tensions between Muslim countries and the US will have a serious impact on global relations. Pressures on Muslim societies and discriminatory policies could exacerbate migration crises around the world and create new areas of conflict. This could lead to greater cultural and political divisions between the West and the Muslim world.


US-Russia relations:


Trump has in the past advocated the idea of “getting along better” in relations with Russia. With a view to prioritizing America's interests, Trump sees it as beneficial to explore ways of cooperation rather than competition with Russia. In this context, he may advocate the possibility of cooperating with Russia on some issues, especially to counterbalance China and to promote stability in the Middle East. Trump's approach could open the door to some economic and security cooperation between the two countries.


US-Europe relations:


Trump's rapprochement with Russia could complicate Europe-US relations. Europe, especially eastern European countries, has historically been uncomfortable with Russia's growing influence. If the US moves closer to Russia, it will raise concerns among European allies about America's security commitments. In this case, European countries could seek to strengthen their own defenses and develop a more independent policy within NATO, reducing dependence on the United States. These searches have already begun.


A rapprochement with Russia would cause discomfort in Europe, especially in countries bordering Russia, such as the Baltic states and Poland. Countries like Germany and France may seek to increase their own security by relying less on the United States. This could accelerate Europe's efforts to strengthen its own defense and build strategic autonomy. Moreover, Trump's good relations with Russia could lead to a strategic distance between the EU and the US, a cooling of relations, and more European cooperation with other great powers such as China and Russia. In the long run, this could undermine solidarity within NATO.


Other possible developments:


Trump's adoption of a protectionist rather than globalist economic policy has caused friction with some groups. Big capital and pro-global trade economic actors have criticized Trump for raising tariffs and starting trade wars. As for the judiciary, some of Trump's decisions on issues such as immigration and election security have been blocked by the judiciary. This has at times irritated Trump because of the judiciary's stance.


As president, Trump will fight these groups, but this may challenge the checks and balances in the American system. A hard confrontation with the military and intelligence community would make it harder to implement national security decisions. This would undermine trust between institutions. Confrontation with the economic community could create anxiety among business and investors, especially if trade wars are seen as hurting the American economy.


Trump's prolonged confrontation with the judiciary could lead to legal crises. Actions such as disobeying judicial rulings would be seen as contrary to the basic principles of American democracy and would portray Trump as a president in conflict with the law. This would further polarize the country and undermine the American people's trust in state institutions.

Trump's constant struggle with these circles will push the checks and balances of the American system to its limits and, in the long run, will disrupt the atmosphere of harmony and cooperation within the state.


Trump's Israel policy:


Trump's renewed policy of unconditional support for Israel could increase anger and isolation against the United States in the international community. Given the already heightened backlash against the United States over the Biden administration's support for Israel's actions in Gaza, Trump's continuation of this policy would deepen hatred of the United States in the Muslim world. This could further weaken US relations with some Muslim countries and lead to increased boycotts and diplomatic tensions against America.


Trump's continued support for Israel weakens the image of the United States not only in Muslim countries but also around the world. Many Western and non-Muslim societies criticize Israel's harsh interventions in the Palestinian territories and are disturbed by the humanitarian crises. If the US takes a position on this issue that favors the side of the genocidal oppressor, it will further increase anti-Americanism among public opinion in regions such as Europe and Latin America. This could strain America's relations with international organizations and allies.


In addition, Trump's continued support could give America's rivals like China and Russia an advantage in the international arena. In an environment where the United States is criticized for its support for Israel, China and Russia could forge closer ties with Muslim countries and other neutral states. This would weaken America's international influence and increase China and Russia's influence on the world stage.


As a result, Trump's continued unconditional support for Israel could further isolate the United States internationally and plunge its relations with Muslim countries into a deep crisis. In the long run, this would limit the US diplomatic and economic influence in the world and lead to a loss of American influence in some strategic regions.


How would the international system be affected?


The current post-World War II international system was built on Western-centered values under the leadership of the United States. However, this system has long been criticized for its double standards, injustices, and the interests of the great powers, and has begun to lose its influence. Trump's “America First” approach and his emphasis on unilateral interests rather than multilateral cooperation have further undermined confidence in this system. If Trump continues to pursue similar policies, this will further weaken the already strained international system and accelerate the collapse of the existing structure.


In this case, the emergence of a new system in the global order seems certain. Powers such as Turkey, China, Russia, India, Russia, India and some Middle Eastern countries are trying to develop alternative structures that can better protect their interests against America's unilateral policies. China, in particular, is challenging the existing system by increasing its economic and political influence through projects such as the Belt and Road Initiative. Russia is also trying to increase its influence through economic and political alternatives such as BRICS. The European Union, on the other hand, is seeking a more independent position due to some fundamental differences with the United States.


A new system may emerge as a multipolar one, not dominated by a single superpower, but rather by regional powers and different ideological blocs. It could be shaped more by national sovereignty, economic interests and regional security priorities rather than Western-centered values. Countries like China and Russia may want to be among the founders of this new system by exporting their political systems and economic models.


However, such a transition would be very painful, especially in the West, and the uncertainty of the global order would trigger economic and security crises.


The end of a system controlled by the US alone and the emergence of a system in which the distribution of power is spread across more countries seems certain. In this process, it seems that Turkey, China, Russia and some regional powers will play important roles in shaping the new global system.

 

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